MonicaHouse2821
0x5e5f2c6e45d498b463f71358ed24797b2872d395
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $186.0k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.915 | $631.35 | +$196.65 |
| ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.790 | 0.490 | $444.92 | −$272.40 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.815 | 0.589 | $167.87 | −$64.41 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes | 0.120 | 0.200 | $116.80 | +$46.72 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.075 | $16.13 | −$24.73 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.875 | $2.63 | +$0.32 |
| Ramp IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.022 | $0.04 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$573.50at 0.240Will FaZe make a roster move before May?
- +$487.20at 0.600Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
- +$399.02at 0.130Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?
- +$301.35at 0.460Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026?
- +$260.28at 0.460Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 11:38 | Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.24 | $176.16 |
| 04-21 08:16 | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.68 | $445.40 |
| 04-21 02:59 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.15 |
| 04-13 16:42 | Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 04-13 16:41 | Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $49.00 |
| 04-13 09:56 | Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $22.40 |
| 04-13 09:52 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $368.01 |
| 04-13 08:22 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $368.01 |
| 04-13 07:39 | Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.48 | $314.40 |
| 04-13 06:43 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $188.30 |
| 04-13 05:07 | Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.8 | $569.60 |
| 04-13 05:06 | Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO? | SELL | 0.8 | $133.60 |
| 04-13 04:47 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $15.18 |
| 04-13 04:46 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.0k |
| 04-13 02:12 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.0k |