Havala
0x5e5a4e598fb170638a10f106943c55b773c7b63b
- Realised P&L
- $-27.54
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $299.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.500Solana Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$6.14at 0.140Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
- +$1.37at 0.687Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$1.21at 0.961Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.00 |
| 10-08 17:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.4k |
| 10-08 17:47 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:47 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9669999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:47 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:46 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9049999774 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 17:44 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.963999991 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 09:52 | Will Kataller Toyama vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |