devisok
0x5e4fcefe58d93edbe2bea53d13573b00f423bc3d
- Realised P&L
- $-225.03
- Volume
- $115.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $342.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.935 | $280.50 | +$25.50 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.165 | $49.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $12.38 | −$37.15 |
| Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.77 |
| Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.62at 0.420Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$17.00at 0.830Mavericks vs. Lakers
- +$10.62at 0.004Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.04at 0.930Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
- +$6.06at 0.865Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 13:39 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $49.54 |
| 05-23 08:14 | Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 04-03 14:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.973 | $64.21 |
| 04-03 14:40 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.004 | $33.68 |
| 03-25 14:06 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $42.09 |
| 03-25 14:06 | Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | SELL | 0.5218181818 | $28.70 |
| 03-25 14:05 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.005 | $40.81 |
| 02-28 11:30 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $73.46 |
| 02-28 11:29 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1675895568 | $27.60 |
| 01-30 15:01 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February? | BUY | 0.865 | $38.84 |
| 12-28 08:51 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $255.00 |
| 12-28 08:49 | Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $117.99 |
| 11-27 17:07 | Mavericks vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 11-27 17:06 | Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | BUY | 0.9669999991 | $35.00 |
| 10-27 13:52 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $110.00 |