0x5e47EECE0f9eEe88c984844D3126E5149673851C-1728421464591
0x5e47eece0f9eee88c984844d3126e5149673851c
- Realised P&L
- $-21.48
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $30.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.055 | $30.50 | −$59.50 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.47 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.00at 0.200Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$56.47at 0.680Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$28.13at 0.532Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-20.00at 0.054Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
- +$-22.79at 0.107Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 10:17 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $6.47 |
| 03-18 10:16 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 03-18 10:06 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.074682599 | $30.00 |
| 03-17 11:33 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.1687344882 | $40.00 |
| 03-17 11:33 | OKX IPO in 2026? | BUY | 0.1574657258 | $50.00 |
| 04-26 11:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.2799999951 | $27.33 |
| 02-12 11:35 | Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31? | SELL | 0.0580651645 | $27.21 |
| 01-12 09:48 | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.6799999991 | $120.00 |
| 12-20 10:42 | Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31? | BUY | 0.1066861141 | $50.00 |
| 12-20 10:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 11-07 10:34 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 11-07 10:32 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 22:36 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5319999929 | $31.98 |
| 10-08 22:35 | Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | BUY | 0.0539999975 | $20.00 |