pigmermer
0x5e40ba72c60c6fe4f970161818200bb5263cf89c
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $213.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,679
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,679
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$531.22at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 8?
- +$411.43at 0.571Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?
- +$266.62at 0.745Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?
- +$160.01at 0.646Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?
- +$157.74at 0.717Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.23 |
| 10-04 13:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.41 |
| 10-04 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.45 |
| 10-04 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $130.93 |
| 10-04 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.92 |
| 10-04 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.171 | $1.24 |
| 10-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.62 |
| 10-04 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.322 | $2.33 |
| 10-04 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.939495935 | $28.89 |
| 10-04 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $37.73 |
| 10-04 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $39.73 |
| 10-04 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $38.85 |
| 10-04 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.989 | $30.46 |
| 10-04 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-04 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |