Parliament
0x5e3862cf1c83128a055cc2bc48eba3e567c1a1db
- Realised P&L
- $41.9k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $17.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.4kat 0.564Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$24.5kat 0.093GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
- +$3.6kat 0.605Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.466Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$3.0kat 0.769Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 19:11 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.48 | $7.0k |
| 05-03 01:57 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2893960016 | $4.0k |
| 04-12 04:08 | Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2733626937 | $1.2k |
| 04-12 04:02 | Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0153197924 | $200.00 |
| 03-17 21:18 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6338114764 | $500.00 |
| 03-17 21:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $300.00 |
| 03-04 19:39 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $1000.00 |
| 02-25 03:09 | Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.9269748427 | $400.00 |
| 02-25 01:58 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.3895411192 | $100.00 |
| 02-25 01:56 | Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.5977740602 | $700.00 |
| 02-19 18:22 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.2879991546 | $1.5k |
| 02-09 03:23 | Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | SELL | 0.111 | $28.36 |
| 02-09 01:47 | Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | BUY | 0.4696946971 | $120.00 |
| 02-09 00:46 | Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.8766987232 | $200.00 |
| 02-09 00:14 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3645075535 | $160.00 |