PolyBot

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Traders

Parliament

0x5e3862cf1c83128a055cc2bc48eba3e567c1a1db

Realised P&L
$42.3k
Volume
$1.11M
Markets traded
283
Open portfolio
$21.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded283
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4210.285$9.5k−$4.5k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.977$7.8k+$767.62
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2890.295$4.1k+$77.47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6340.148$116.75−$383.25
Cowboys vs. Raiders · Raiders0.4600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? · No0.1430.000$0.00−$450.00
Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$80.00
Cowboys vs. Lions · Cowboys0.3500.000$0.00−$100.00
TCU vs. BYU · TCU0.4100.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00−$400.00
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest · North Carolina0.3700.000$0.00−$100.00
Giants vs. Lions · Giants0.2500.000$0.00−$40.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$124.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 03:04Cowboys vs. EaglesSELL0.0031372514$1.39
10-27 00:51Cowboys vs. EaglesBUY0.4499999994$200.00
10-16 02:54Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3754758698$7.0k
08-14 19:11Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.48$7.0k
05-03 01:57Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2893960016$4.0k
04-12 04:08Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2733626937$1.2k
04-12 04:02Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0153197924$200.00
03-17 21:18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6338114764$500.00
03-17 21:17Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.16$300.00
03-04 19:39US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.53$1000.00
02-25 03:09Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.9269748427$400.00
02-25 01:58Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.3895411192$100.00
02-25 01:56Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.5977740602$700.00
02-19 18:22Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.2879991546$1.5k
02-09 03:23Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?SELL0.111$28.36