PolyBot

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Traders

Parliament

0x5e3862cf1c83128a055cc2bc48eba3e567c1a1db

Realised P&L
$41.9k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$17.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.972$7.7k+$727.85
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4800.405$5.9k$1.1k
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2890.295$4.1k+$77.47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6340.161$126.61$373.38
Cowboys vs. Raiders · Raiders0.4600.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025? · No0.9100.000$0.00$200.00
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$50.00
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? · No0.1430.000$0.00$450.00
Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$80.00
Cowboys vs. Lions · Cowboys0.3500.000$0.00$100.00
TCU vs. BYU · TCU0.4100.000$0.00$120.00
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yes0.2670.000$0.00$400.00
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest · North Carolina0.3700.000$0.00$100.00
Giants vs. Lions · Giants0.2500.000$0.00$40.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$124.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 19:11Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.48$7.0k
05-03 01:57Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2893960016$4.0k
04-12 04:08Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.2733626937$1.2k
04-12 04:02Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.0153197924$200.00
03-17 21:18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6338114764$500.00
03-17 21:17Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.16$300.00
03-04 19:39US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.53$1000.00
02-25 03:09Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.9269748427$400.00
02-25 01:58Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.3895411192$100.00
02-25 01:56Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.5977740602$700.00
02-19 18:22Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.2879991546$1.5k
02-09 03:23Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?SELL0.111$28.36
02-09 01:47Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?BUY0.4696946971$120.00
02-09 00:46Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?BUY0.8766987232$200.00
02-09 00:14Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.3645075535$160.00