PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5e3796a5e1f69c911a619be7882f40ce5034cf6e

Realised P&L
$-9.99
Volume
$472.38
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$22.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8300.895$8.05+$0.58
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8800.958$5.75+$0.47
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1650.105$4.83$2.77
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1200.134$2.81+$0.29
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2600.075$0.82$2.04
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2600.021$0.37$4.05
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.4700.000$0.00$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 20:21U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.12$1.32
07-10 03:32Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.208$1.04
06-21 00:36Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.16$3.52
06-16 16:40U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.88$5.28
06-14 11:30Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$3.85
06-12 07:15Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.13$1.30
04-25 12:14Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$11.55
04-23 09:41Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.816$6.53
04-23 09:40Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.902$4.51
04-23 09:39Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
04-23 09:38U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.79$7.11
04-15 21:27Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.093$2.51
04-15 21:27Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.908$9.08
04-15 21:26Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.068$1.09
04-12 07:00Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.74$3.70