rferf4343f
0x5e2ff2f8e313d2fa09882018d4cc53ccffddf9ba
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $1.94M
- Markets traded
- 30,866
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded30,866
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.081Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$2.1kat 0.397Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$1.5kat 0.549Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$1.3kat 0.448Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$852.49at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.36 |
| 09-14 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $191.55 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.60 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.75 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.29 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.62 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.61 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.64 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.30 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.9983177125 | $50.28 |
| 09-14 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $72.75 |
| 09-14 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.56 |
| 09-14 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $87.78 |
| 09-14 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $126.28 |
| 09-14 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |