PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

rferf4343f

0x5e2ff2f8e313d2fa09882018d4cc53ccffddf9ba

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$1.94M
Markets traded
30,866
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded30,866
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16? · Yes0.3521.000$165.27+$107.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? · No0.8801.000$120.00+$14.41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? · No0.8271.000$114.36+$19.74
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? · No0.7731.000$113.00+$25.67
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.3061.000$96.26+$66.77
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? · Yes0.5421.000$87.94+$40.30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.2871.000$72.92+$52.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 16? · No0.5901.000$58.73+$24.09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? · No0.8700.999$58.70+$7.58
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.6271.000$55.81+$20.80
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 16? · No0.7101.000$55.55+$16.11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 16? · No0.6751.000$32.78+$10.66
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16? · Yes0.5101.000$31.50+$15.44
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16? · Yes0.2041.000$27.43+$21.82
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 16? · No0.8581.000$26.64+$3.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 18:36Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 14?SELL0.999$118.36
09-14 18:36Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 14?SELL0.999$191.55
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14?SELL0.999$29.60
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 14?SELL0.999$24.75
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 14?SELL0.999$24.29
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 14?SELL0.999$21.62
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 14?SELL0.999$35.61
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 14?SELL0.999$35.64
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?SELL0.999$36.30
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 15?SELL0.9983177125$50.28
09-14 15:24Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on September 14?SELL0.999$72.75
09-14 12:36Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 14?SELL0.999$59.56
09-14 12:36Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?SELL0.999$87.78
09-14 12:30Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14?SELL0.999$126.28
09-14 07:23Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 15?BUY0.58$2.90