0x5E2D79A2B2b6aed7766A9EE9c165db5Fc4b86eD9-1772812053606
0x5e2d79a2b2b6aed7766a9ee9c165db5fc4b86ed9
- Realised P&L
- $-23.39
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $3.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.058 | $3.12 | −$1.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down | 0.697 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.68at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$11.93at 0.293Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$6.08at 0.456Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$4.89at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$4.48at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 02:20 | Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? | BUY | 0.0929999998 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 01:19 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 15:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $3.37 |
| 03-08 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5690049513 | $4.85 |
| 03-08 15:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4890049651 | $3.88 |
| 03-08 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | SELL | 0.0467372217 | $2.98 |
| 03-08 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0313467341 | $2.00 |
| 03-08 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.3106387554 | $3.18 |
| 03-08 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $4.84 |
| 03-08 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.88 |
| 03-08 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.84 | $4.86 |
| 03-08 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4391513822 | $2.50 |
| 03-08 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.1706583294 | $2.59 |
| 03-08 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999689 | $6.58 |
| 03-08 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $2.96 |