laurabelliard
0x5e2b7fad42f01d81a221ef2af47651a297ab9599
- Realised P&L
- $-6.42
- Volume
- $282.45
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.005 | $0.05 | −$4.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Porto: Katherine Sebov vs Gabriela Knutson · Katherine Sebov | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.31 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants · Minnesota Twins | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.33at 0.607Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$3.27at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$2.92at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$2.08at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
- +$-1.12at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $8.58 |
| 09-22 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $2.05 |
| 09-22 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 14:33 | Porto: Katherine Sebov vs Gabriela Knutson | BUY | 0.0041318739 | $0.31 |
| 09-22 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 03:00 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 02:47 | Giants vs. Rams | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 09-22 01:39 | Giants vs. Rams | BUY | 0.0609999986 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 01:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |