PolyBot

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Traders

Goldsmithd

0x5e2a96820f128aad1cb12dc58af88d3b383e2bd6

Realised P&L
$-214.11
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$97.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mystics · Minnesota Lynx0.6201.000$37.00+$14.06
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-03? · Yes0.6701.000$30.00+$9.90
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.255$16.06$0.31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 20? · Yes0.9991.000$14.01+$0.01
Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs0.5600.000$0.00$11.03
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4000.000$0.00$28.92
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces · New York Liberty0.3600.000$0.00$6.48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19? · No0.4220.000$0.00$7.43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$7.54
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? · No0.7400.000$0.00$212.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 11:16Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?BUY0.26$16.38
09-03 12:09Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-03?BUY0.67$20.10
08-21 06:50Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington MysticsBUY0.62$22.94
07-30 08:01New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.36$6.48
07-24 02:44Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 24?BUY0.26$7.54
07-16 09:03Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?SELL0.998$534.46
07-16 09:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 20?BUY0.9989999296$14.00
07-16 09:02Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.999$300.00
07-16 09:01Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?SELL0.998$128.62
07-16 09:01Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?BUY0.999$235.00
07-16 09:01Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?SELL0.998$385.86
07-16 09:00Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$21.48
07-16 09:00Will Richard Grenell be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?BUY0.999$515.00
07-16 09:00Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$499.00
07-16 08:58Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.999$521.00