PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5E1d83b4c11B280F5E125bCBc73FfB77E0cD2887-1762979411858

0x5e1d83b4c11b280f5e125bcbc73ffb77e0cd2887

Realised P&L
$-67.78
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$12.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8290.979$5.90+$0.90
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.955$2.30+$0.30
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1530.036$1.67−$5.31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0740.019$1.05−$2.95
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.019$0.97−$4.03
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1300.032$0.61−$1.89
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00−$4.33
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 14:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2489999601$4.33
06-13 11:14Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8299999792$2.00
06-13 11:13Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? BUY0.2624999807$9.00
06-13 11:13Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0548628344$6.00
05-22 05:08Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999803$4.86
05-15 23:18Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.129925265$4.00
05-15 23:17Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5599999925$9.00
05-14 17:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0739999816$4.00
05-14 17:50Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1142769982$10.00
05-14 17:50Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.58$4.00
05-14 17:49Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.4299999298$3.00
05-14 17:43Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999823$5.41
04-15 03:09Claude 4.7 released by April 30?BUY0.9079999873$4.00
02-21 06:02Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.16$2.00
02-07 19:26Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.1739999552$3.00