capitalpiston2
0x5e020e19bc4cc2cd24ab9b406604ee9df02ab178
- Realised P&L
- $11.8k
- Volume
- $2.31M
- Markets traded
- 7,975
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,975
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.093Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$1.3kat 0.007Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lu
- +$1.2kat 0.003Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$1.1kat 0.009Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$939.22at 0.001Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 17:35 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.06 | $300.00 |
| 10-14 19:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1699353509 | $1.8k |
| 10-14 19:23 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.15 | $201.39 |
| 10-02 13:51 | Curitiba (Doubles): Kestelboim/Zormann vs Heredia/Tobon | BUY | 0.48 | $14.21 |
| 10-01 10:30 | Jingshan (Doubles): Muller/Pavlovic vs Reyes/Stalder | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 10-01 10:28 | Set 1 Winner: Muller/Pavlovic vs Reyes/Stalder | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 10-01 10:28 | Jingshan (Doubles): Muller/Pavlovic vs Reyes/Stalder | BUY | 0.4241176471 | $72.10 |
| 09-25 19:48 | Türkiye vs. France: France O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.83 | $165.99 |
| 09-21 21:32 | Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.4940433002 | $25.33 |
| 09-16 19:24 | Tiburon (Doubles): Lammons/Withrow vs Boyer/Krueger | BUY | 0.2657142857 | $9.30 |
| 09-15 12:44 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.38 |
| 09-15 12:44 | Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $58.35 |
| 09-15 12:44 | Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $116.02 |
| 09-12 18:59 | Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $70.86 |
| 09-12 18:59 | Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.03 | $51.32 |