ExtremelyExy
0x5e0085c86ee9551f35f9576c518c09cecc722980
- Realised P&L
- $-47.57
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $13.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams? · No | 0.744 | 0.485 | $13.04 | −$6.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.96at 0.230Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$31.13at 0.138Will Trump say "Etc." or "Et cetera" this week? (February 22)
- +$20.23at 0.824Athletics vs. New York Mets
- +$17.43at 0.534Will "Obama" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)
- +$15.93at 0.815Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jesper de Jong
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:34 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 45m first week streams? | BUY | 0.7439999548 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 16:20 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.8862275279 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 16:19 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $21.09 |
| 09-12 08:26 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999991 | $35.73 |
| 08-21 13:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.82 | $29.00 |
| 07-12 20:43 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12? | BUY | 0.9 | $26.00 |
| 07-08 12:52 | Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 07-08 12:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $11.67 |
| 07-06 00:06 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 00:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 23:57 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | SELL | 0.974 | $30.17 |
| 06-27 11:20 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 11:19 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? | BUY | 0.7099999926 | $22.00 |
| 06-27 11:17 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.67 |
| 06-27 11:17 | Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | SELL | 0.066 | $0.90 |