0x5deb9efa5dd54a2fe549c879c8bf3c2bfbb777d9
0x5deb9efa5dd54a2fe549c879c8bf3c2bfbb777d9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.18
- Volume
- $591.80
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $7.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.978 | $1.84 | +$0.84 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.993 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.705 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.255 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.605 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.123 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.27at 0.237Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$11.24at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$10.14at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$8.68at 0.323Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$3.75at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:22 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:21 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2019999612 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:29 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2619999927 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:29 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:29 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 00:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:26 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:17 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 16:17 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996918 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 08:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |