PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

m.herrera

0x5de4eeaa427343731679660e58e1cc4d78a8448d

Realised P&L
$-236.83
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$18.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 3? · Yes0.4800.996$5.10+$2.64
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0720.113$4.69+$1.69
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0590.071$4.04+$0.68
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.2290.274$2.73+$0.45
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.1450.106$2.24−$0.82
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.5440.000$0.00−$52.00
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres · Arizona Diamondbacks0.4500.000$0.00−$20.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$1.10
Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Cavaliers0.4310.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Up0.2420.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.2150.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 03:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.5099999397$1.10
10-03 03:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSELL0.19$0.41
10-03 03:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-03 03:09Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSELL0.53$1.04
10-03 03:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-03 02:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.5$1.10
10-03 02:52Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?SELL0.3$0.41
10-03 02:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL0.16$0.85
10-03 02:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.4499999438$2.40
10-03 02:50Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL0.41$1.61
10-03 02:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.5099999516$2.00
10-03 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSELL0.97$2.52
10-03 02:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.9299999907$1.00
10-03 02:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.7199998953$1.10
10-03 02:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETSELL0.68$1.13