PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kinglake

0x5ddf6467fdda4bfb026c9c46e332f34746ffd10f

Realised P&L
$-18.20
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$61.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 19? · Yes0.2900.430$14.83+$4.83
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.5700.575$10.09+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.4100.330$8.05$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 19? · Yes0.3900.255$6.54$3.46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 19? · Yes0.2400.135$5.63$4.37
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.5100.550$5.39+$0.39
Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.5110.495$4.84$0.16
Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on September 19? · Yes0.4940.270$2.73$2.27
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.4000.535$1.34+$0.34
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 19? · Yes0.0010.001$0.83$1.17
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 19? · Yes0.0010.001$0.80$1.20
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on September 19? · Yes0.0030.001$0.60$3.40
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on September 19? · Yes0.4000.001$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.4150.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 19?BUY0.0015082786$1.00
09-19 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.0016691147$1.00
09-19 00:06Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.005142387$1.00
09-19 00:05Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.4$1.00
09-19 00:05Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.4$1.00
09-19 00:05Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 19?BUY0.001$1.00
09-19 00:05Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.001$1.00
09-19 00:04Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.001$1.00
09-19 00:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.53$8.98
09-18 18:51Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on September 19?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 18:50Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on September 19?BUY0.4939658612$5.00
09-18 18:49Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.5102240741$5.00
09-18 18:49Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.5114888058$5.00
09-18 18:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
09-18 18:47Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.2399999981$10.00