SuperFan99
0x5dd74cfe6386ee063cd119c9ab50947dc8850aac
- Realised P&L
- $-126.48
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,908
- Open portfolio
- $0.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,908
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.021 | $0.42 | −$11.78 |
| Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.65at 0.791Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET
- +$2.35at 0.681Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$1.94at 0.721Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$1.94at 0.721Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$1.84at 0.731Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 04:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $5.01 |
| 06-25 02:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.01 |
| 06-22 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 04:55 | XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.01 |
| 06-20 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $5.01 |
| 06-19 11:50 | Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.88 |
| 06-18 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 14:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $4.70 |
| 06-18 14:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $4.87 |
| 06-17 18:26 | XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $4.94 |
| 06-17 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.01 |
| 06-17 15:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $5.01 |
| 06-16 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 13:12 | XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $4.89 |