timecop1983
0x5dd43ddf1e2f73f70e8a62debad8125e03fed9c1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $120.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $52.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $50.83 | −$353.71 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.001 | $1.26 | −$440.64 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? · Up | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.00at 0.860US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$4.20at 0.920Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$-6.00at 0.760Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-12.00at 0.860US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?
- +$-35.00at 0.520Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 18:50 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2029999985 | $90.00 |
| 06-08 18:50 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.338 | $94.63 |
| 06-08 15:51 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $52.65 |
| 01-19 18:27 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1794835155 | $260.00 |
| 01-16 01:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.06 |