0x5dd3fa511f897f63ed7be847fc3f906b8d22c804
- Realised P&L
- $5.62
- Volume
- $51.24
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $1.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.025 | $0.67 | −$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.58at 0.328Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.760Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$-1.65at 0.641Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:10 | Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:10 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.0381301156 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 17:40 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $7.33 |
| 04-04 16:26 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.91 |
| 04-03 16:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $0.98 |
| 04-03 12:07 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |