europa
0x5dd16dafa38f55698cde3b84dc4414f1b77da343
- Realised P&L
- $4.70
- Volume
- $26.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $690.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$295.61at 0.555Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$181.54at 0.073Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$138.97at 0.654FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
- +$94.81at 0.099Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$55.50at 0.530Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:54 | Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0482948944 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 11:53 | Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.96 |
| 11-02 11:53 | Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.057 | $13.68 |
| 11-02 11:52 | Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.057 | $6.84 |
| 11-02 11:51 | Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.117 | $11.70 |
| 11-02 11:51 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.072 | $10.80 |
| 11-02 11:50 | Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.77 |
| 11-02 11:50 | Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.28 |
| 11-02 11:50 | Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.86 |
| 11-02 11:50 | Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.056 | $6.72 |
| 11-02 11:47 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $62.50 |
| 11-02 11:44 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $102.60 |
| 11-02 11:42 | Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH) | BUY | 0.056 | $5.02 |
| 11-02 11:42 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999997 | $87.00 |
| 11-02 11:40 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $52.50 |