Arimondz
0x5dccba3a9a456c69f3063c80be82164a90fd619c
- Realised P&L
- $526.86
- Volume
- $229.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $747.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$201.49at 0.006Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$93.56at 0.082Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$88.92at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$82.20at 0.567Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$58.93at 0.347Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 21:51 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.358 | $30.79 |
| 08-27 17:28 | Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $76.21 |
| 08-13 09:44 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.407 | $244.20 |
| 08-12 22:14 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.01 |
| 07-15 17:48 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5475 | $54.75 |
| 07-11 15:30 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5025 | $100.50 |
| 07-09 09:30 | Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.01 | $21.13 |
| 07-09 06:46 | Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.18 |
| 07-07 18:36 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.42 | $71.40 |
| 07-07 18:22 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $9.52 |
| 07-07 15:51 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 07-06 22:03 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.53 | $84.80 |
| 07-05 16:08 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 07-05 10:44 | Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.0249733333 | $37.46 |
| 07-05 10:42 | Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.11 |