PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Arimondz

0x5dccba3a9a456c69f3063c80be82164a90fd619c

Realised P&L
$526.86
Volume
$229.1k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$747.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0150.012$244.06$60.71
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.4070.436$236.48+$15.98
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0360.022$151.01$89.44
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0090.011$46.00+$10.00
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0250.016$36.80$20.70
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0500.021$21.50$28.50
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$7.27$102.03
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.002$4.03$17.46
Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$85.39
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$11.20
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva · Maja Chwalinska0.0700.000$0.00$21.14
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic · Hamad Medjedovic0.2800.000$0.00$50.40
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5300.000$0.00$84.80
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$71.40
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00$100.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 21:51Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.358$30.79
08-27 17:28Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.011$76.21
08-13 09:44Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.407$244.20
08-12 22:14Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.041$0.01
07-15 17:48England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5475$54.75
07-11 15:30Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5025$100.50
07-09 09:30Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.01$21.13
07-09 06:46Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.009$0.18
07-07 18:36Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.42$71.40
07-07 18:22Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.025$9.52
07-07 15:51Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.08$16.00
07-06 22:03United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.53$84.80
07-05 16:08Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.4$60.00
07-05 10:44Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.0249733333$37.46
07-05 10:42Will Paul Seixas win the 2026 Tour De France?BUY0.023$0.11