0x5dc85667586ac3fc84ce17c0275adf73a96f874d
0x5dc85667586ac3fc84ce17c0275adf73a96f874d
- Realised P&L
- $33.41
- Volume
- $57.51
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $35.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar58.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.620 | 0.780 | $12.38 | +$2.54 |
| Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.475 | $6.98 | −$0.37 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres | 0.500 | 0.375 | $4.81 | −$1.60 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-8.5) · New Mexico State | 0.500 | 0.430 | $4.78 | −$0.78 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers · Bruins | 0.500 | 0.385 | $3.63 | −$1.08 |
| Spread: Washington (-10.5) · Minnesota | 0.500 | 0.535 | $3.28 | +$0.21 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners · Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.42 |
| Ma vs. Birrell: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.52at 0.500Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Juan Martin
- +$16.35at 0.381San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$10.20at 0.331Buenos Aires 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Hugo Dellien
- +$4.19at 0.500Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:58 | Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999899 | $4.92 |
| 09-24 06:58 | Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999899 | $4.92 |
| 09-23 22:34 | Buenos Aires 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Hugo Dellien | BUY | 0.32 | $4.88 |
| 09-23 18:38 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.3899999848 | $4.88 |
| 09-23 18:37 | San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | BUY | 0.35 | $4.86 |