PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

anon-trader

0x5dbcd205567ebe7fbbcf48e55209add8e16743be

Realised P&L
$-33.54
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$52.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? · Yes0.4400.963$9.63+$5.22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30? · Yes0.1901.000$6.00+$4.86
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1? · Yes0.2001.000$5.00+$4.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? · Yes0.3301.000$5.00+$3.35
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? · Yes0.3300.998$4.99+$3.34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? · Yes0.6600.997$4.99+$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 2? · Yes0.5600.665$3.33+$0.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? · Yes0.5100.635$3.17+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 2? · Yes0.5400.585$2.92+$0.23
Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2? · Yes0.4700.545$2.73+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 2? · Yes0.3400.455$2.27+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? · Yes0.4000.445$2.23+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? · Yes0.5100.006$0.03−$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? · Yes0.3600.005$0.03−$1.77
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1? · Yes0.3300.001$0.00−$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:01Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2?BUY0.47$2.35
11-01 08:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 2?BUY0.56$2.80
11-01 06:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.54$2.70
11-01 05:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2?BUY0.51$2.55
11-01 03:01Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 2?BUY0.34$1.70
10-31 23:01Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.4$2.00
10-31 17:01Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1?BUY0.45$2.25
10-31 11:01Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1?BUY0.52$2.60
10-31 08:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1?BUY0.36$1.80
10-31 06:01Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.51$2.55
10-31 06:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1?BUY0.33$1.65
10-31 05:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?BUY0.33$1.65
10-31 05:01Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1?BUY0.43$2.15
10-31 04:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.66$3.30
10-31 00:01Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?BUY0.33$1.65