anon-trader
0x5dbcd205567ebe7fbbcf48e55209add8e16743be
- Realised P&L
- $-33.54
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $52.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.44at 0.320Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 22?
- +$9.60at 0.520Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?
- +$7.92at 0.570Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on October 21?
- +$6.60at 0.340Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 30?
- +$5.85at 0.415Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:01 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 11-01 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 11-01 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 11-01 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 10-31 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:01 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-31 11:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-31 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 10-31 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-31 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 10-31 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 10-31 05:01 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-31 04:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-31 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |