fdgafd
0x5db08026d22089aab789bec3294546af1f37095a
- Realised P&L
- $-198.42
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $69.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.018 | $69.55 | −$200.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.220ICE shooter charged by March 31?
- +$1.26at 0.550Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.09at 0.660Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$0.41at 0.880US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.18at 0.800Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 11:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 06:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0723567136 | $269.00 |
| 01-10 01:16 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 01-10 01:16 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $7.00 |
| 01-10 01:15 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 01-10 01:15 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 01-08 11:27 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 01-06 01:43 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 01-06 01:39 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | SELL | 0.848 | $3.18 |
| 01-06 01:39 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.25 |
| 01-05 00:23 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 01-05 00:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.96 |
| 01-04 08:10 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.88 |
| 01-04 02:55 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 01-04 02:55 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.08 |