PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdgafd

0x5db08026d22089aab789bec3294546af1f37095a

Realised P&L
$-198.42
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$69.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0720.018$69.55$200.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 11:07Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.023999977$1.00
03-21 06:53Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0723567136$269.00
01-10 01:16Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?SELL0.69$3.45
01-10 01:16ICE shooter charged by March 31?SELL0.28$7.00
01-10 01:15Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.81$4.05
01-10 01:15Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.56$2.80
01-08 11:27Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.73$3.65
01-06 01:43Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.71$3.55
01-06 01:39Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?SELL0.848$3.18
01-06 01:39Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.78$4.25
01-05 00:23Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.81$4.05
01-05 00:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.56$1.96
01-04 08:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.76$2.88
01-04 02:55Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.5499999633$3.00
01-04 02:55Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?SELL0.78$7.08