exi39
0x5dad429ca42c3feb0c766c5bb97c541a8b6cf182
- Realised P&L
- $-468.60
- Volume
- $69.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $193.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.923 | 1.000 | $142.78 | +$11.01 |
| Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.920 | 1.000 | $40.65 | +$3.23 |
| India vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.820 | 1.000 | $6.94 | +$1.25 |
| Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.010 | 0.001 | $1.56 | −$29.70 |
| Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.036 | 0.001 | $1.05 | −$75.93 |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06? · No | 0.080 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$17.28 |
| Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.153 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$23.84 |
| England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.140 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$19.93 |
| India vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.85 |
| Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| India vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.79 |
| Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| India vs. Uruguay: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.16 |
| India vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.02 |
| India vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.11at 0.010China PR vs. Tajikistan: O/U 1.5
- +$173.70at 0.080Will Latvia win on 2026-10-05?
- +$136.65at 0.009France vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5
- +$103.18at 0.174CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Platense: 1st Half O/U 2.5
- +$99.79at 0.020Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 19:33 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.02 | $4.12 |
| 10-06 19:24 | England vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:18 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.03 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:18 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.04 | $14.21 |
| 10-06 19:17 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.0174993751 | $10.50 |
| 10-06 19:17 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 19:17 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $9.19 |
| 10-06 19:17 | Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 18:53 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 18:53 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 18:30 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 10-06 18:25 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.3 | $7.24 |
| 10-06 18:25 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1457142857 | $5.10 |
| 10-06 18:25 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $5.25 |
| 10-06 18:20 | Algeria vs. Niger: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1381629651 | $18.79 |