PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

valinor

0x5da60a456bf05baad0d3f2fee179b6aed50e214a

Realised P&L
$-16.72
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$121.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0880.926$105.28+$95.28
Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.1800.145$16.11$3.89
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$10.00
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 22:29Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.0150266336$3.09
09-06 22:29Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.002$0.36
09-05 19:14Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.3$5.00
09-05 19:13Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?BUY0.0489999908$5.00
08-28 08:12Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
07-19 19:41Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.0190000001$10.00
07-06 19:49Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsBUY0.149999976$5.00
07-06 19:48Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsBUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-05 15:40Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?SELL0.99$37.42
07-04 16:27Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?SELL0.991$20.22
07-04 14:25Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.3967466772$15.00
07-04 14:24Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
03-14 04:03Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0275590498$5.00
03-14 04:03Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0486893574$10.00
03-14 04:03Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0879999925$10.00