valinor
0x5da60a456bf05baad0d3f2fee179b6aed50e214a
- Realised P&L
- $-16.72
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $121.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.926 | $105.28 | +$95.28 |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.145 | $16.11 | −$3.89 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.15at 0.404Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
- +$11.49at 0.310Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$10.07at 0.497Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
- +$8.43at 0.970Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?
- +$-3.31at 0.070Will Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 22:29 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.0150266336 | $3.09 |
| 09-06 22:29 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.36 |
| 09-05 19:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 19:13 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0489999908 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 08:12 | Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 19:41 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0190000001 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 19:49 | Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 19:48 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 15:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.99 | $37.42 |
| 07-04 16:27 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.991 | $20.22 |
| 07-04 14:25 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3967466772 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 14:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 04:03 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0275590498 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 04:03 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0486893574 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 04:03 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0879999925 | $10.00 |