nancy05
0x5d9ba1b7ddc985a4dc02ab1a2191dc2f08eaf52e
- Realised P&L
- $21.76
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $34.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.924 | $18.74 | +$5.36 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty · Minnesota Lynx | 0.580 | 0.595 | $8.50 | +$0.21 |
| UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) · Yazmin Jauregui | 0.870 | 1.000 | $7.69 | +$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.87at 0.680Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
- +$3.49at 0.968Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$3.34at 0.740Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24?
- +$2.90at 0.974Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$2.47at 0.977Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:22 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.61 |
| 01-31 13:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.9819999994 | $9.32 |
| 01-30 16:28 | Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.66 |
| 01-30 15:30 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999601 | $11.53 |
| 01-30 11:47 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 01-30 11:45 | Will Ethena hit $0.41 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $72.07 |
| 12-30 10:48 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.50 |
| 12-30 01:59 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.31 |
| 12-30 01:28 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.05 |
| 12-30 00:37 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.81 |
| 12-29 22:10 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $52.65 |
| 10-30 18:07 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.93 |
| 10-30 17:54 | Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.03 |
| 09-29 16:36 | Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.81 |
| 09-29 12:58 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999831 | $15.72 |