0x5d93b86269d81fe670045c6341af713249816eb7
0x5d93b86269d81fe670045c6341af713249816eb7
- Realised P&L
- $1.90
- Volume
- $237.33
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $2.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.330 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.630 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.27at 0.237Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.25at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.04at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.79at 0.369SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$2.79at 0.369Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 17:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:48 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:11 | Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of September 28 above $345? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:01 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:57 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:37 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:23 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 04:23 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899999938 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 08:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999728 | $1.59 |
| 09-22 23:39 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999718 | $1.59 |
| 09-20 22:11 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999436 | $1.59 |