M4cheNike
0x5d90b89f034797181bd558fb69f715a5245e9ebe
- Realised P&L
- $-32.09
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $25.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No | 0.603 | 0.588 | $9.41 | −$0.24 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.245 | $8.57 | −$1.23 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.370 | $7.41 | −$0.80 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.76at 0.653Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$2.21at 0.822Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$2.19at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
- +$1.89at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$1.80at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 23:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 09-16 23:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.603 | $9.65 |
| 09-14 19:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.681 | $3.26 |
| 09-13 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |