r544freeff
0x5d8c83e15a8686fc123a81ff0a92076ea5b008ee
- Realised P&L
- $-787.72
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $10.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Panthers | 0.470 | 0.465 | $9.30 | −$0.10 |
| Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes · Saitama Seibu Lions | 0.650 | 0.515 | $1.58 | −$0.42 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.46 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Boston Red Sox | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.16 |
| Rockets vs. Kings · Rockets | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Senators vs. Utah · Senators | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.38 |
| Islanders vs. Flames · Islanders | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.65 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans · Grizzlies | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.82 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins · Minnesota Twins | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.15 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians · San Francisco Giants | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.73 |
| San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · San Diego Padres | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.30 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.60 |
| Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.54at 0.490Senators vs. Predators
- +$156.41at 0.390LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)
- +$150.00at 0.500Jazz vs. Mavericks
- +$131.19at 0.420Timberwolves vs. Bucks
- +$124.90at 0.490Suns vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 05:56 | Saitama Seibu Lions vs. Orix Buffaloes | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 11:20 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-27 06:07 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 06:06 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.85 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 05:55 | Patriots vs. Jaguars | BUY | 0.41 | $8.61 |
| 09-26 05:55 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.7699999795 | $6.00 |
| 09-25 06:59 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.46 | $10.12 |
| 09-24 08:26 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.4599999739 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 08:25 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 09-23 10:15 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $6.00 |
| 09-23 10:14 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.58 | $9.86 |
| 09-22 10:30 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.42 | $9.24 |
| 09-21 06:15 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.43 | $9.46 |
| 09-19 07:22 | Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 07:23 | Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.36 | $8.28 |