sagejiraiyah
0x5d76375541753fe5f7804b52accbe7a3b0fd99d6
- Realised P&L
- $-287.20
- Volume
- $49.1k
- Markets traded
- 219
- Open portfolio
- $209.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded219
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.31at 0.137Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
- +$148.98at 0.213Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$130.33at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$108.88at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$65.24at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 14:53 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.2327788844 | $42.11 |
| 10-18 14:52 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.2200886632 | $24.05 |
| 10-18 14:50 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.197722376 | $45.70 |
| 10-18 14:49 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)? | BUY | 0.2105540043 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 11:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-27 11:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 11:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0865384612 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 11:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1286633305 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.154985046 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 10:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1553398058 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 10:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2752293565 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2693266806 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 10:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-27 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $15.70 |