kiki2917
0x5d750452f3087ee668cc81262313a257432cbd1f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $59.2k
- Markets traded
- 743
- Open portfolio
- $11.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded743
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.500 | $10.64 | +$0.64 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.660 | 0.680 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| TOGB vs. RKSV Rohda Raalte: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.41 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.43at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
- +$107.89at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$100.55at 0.917Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$95.85at 0.616Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
- +$88.50at 0.648XRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:57 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 23:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $1.47 |
| 09-23 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 21:07 | FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $55.06 |
| 09-23 20:49 | Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $28.13 |
| 09-23 20:08 | FC Barcelona vs. Paris FC: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $43.00 |
| 09-23 20:07 | Chelsea FC vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 18:46 | TOGB vs. RKSV Rohda Raalte: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6199999952 | $28.41 |
| 09-23 18:03 | Buenos Aires 2: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SELL | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 09-23 17:33 | Buenos Aires 2: Murkel Dellien vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BUY | 0.95 | $57.00 |
| 09-23 17:24 | BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Juventus Utena | SELL | 0.999 | $57.78 |
| 09-23 15:46 | BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Juventus Utena | BUY | 0.6275795812 | $36.30 |
| 09-20 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999948 | $27.00 |