HellNahhhhh
0x5d6b74ea4f135eb9be312c6b10ecdaf2eaffc4f4
- Realised P&L
- $-378.98
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $10.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.60at 0.438Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians
- +$42.00at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$33.17at 0.834Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$30.62at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$24.70at 0.506Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 12:50 | Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 05-21 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 05-20 22:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 13:30 | Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | SELL | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 17:35 | Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans | SELL | 0.06 | $22.80 |
| 05-15 16:52 | Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings | SELL | 0.04 | $6.80 |
| 05-14 17:27 | Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 05-14 15:55 | Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians | SELL | 0.48 | $4.79 |
| 05-11 17:56 | Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.04 |
| 05-10 13:18 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 05-10 12:48 | Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.094 | $5.64 |
| 05-10 12:05 | Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | BUY | 0.081 | $3.39 |
| 05-10 10:59 | Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | SELL | 0.156 | $102.18 |