0x5d68d921c21a94ae5eda93a2e43320a2daecca5e
0x5d68d921c21a94ae5eda93a2e43320a2daecca5e
- Realised P&L
- $-497.67
- Volume
- $328.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,431
- Open portfolio
- $367.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,431
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.663Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$656.01at 0.630Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$533.26at 0.504Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$362.85at 0.620Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
- +$287.65at 0.722Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-22 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 09-22 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-22 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-22 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 09-22 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-22 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-22 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 09-22 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-22 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-22 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |