PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nvvur8

0x5d67dfbd00f71df5519158fba9a574c4a6dfe02e

Realised P&L
$3.05
Volume
$104.96
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$5.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.530$4.08−$0.92
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5900.385$0.65−$0.35
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.2500.089$0.64−$1.14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$2.13
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$1.26
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12? · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Knicks vs. 76ers · 76ers0.4800.000$0.00−$1.42
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$1.73
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.10
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$1.52
Suns vs. Hornets · Suns0.3570.000$0.00−$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 15:47Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.25$1.78
09-03 11:20Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-29 20:55Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6299995438$1.16
08-23 11:46Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
07-03 17:06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.6499999326$1.93
06-30 16:41Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.5599999846$1.45
06-27 12:40Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.7199999865$2.13
06-23 12:51Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.64$1.80
06-20 15:17Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6299999314$2.94
05-17 12:48Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.5999998812$1.01
05-15 13:19Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.42$1.26
05-10 09:53Knicks vs. 76ersBUY0.4799998783$1.42
05-07 10:38Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.4299999453$1.73
05-06 15:18Canadiens vs. SabresBUY0.5499999655$2.39
05-05 18:33Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?BUY0.6099999405$1.23