nvvur8
0x5d67dfbd00f71df5519158fba9a574c4a6dfe02e
- Realised P&L
- $3.05
- Volume
- $104.96
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.530 | $4.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.385 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.089 | $0.64 | −$1.14 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.13 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.26 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12? · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Knicks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.42 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.73 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.52 |
| Suns vs. Hornets · Suns | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.69at 0.310Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
- +$1.92at 0.557Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$1.69at 0.637Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$1.45at 0.410Red Wings vs. Panthers
- +$1.24at 0.640Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 15:47 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.78 |
| 09-03 11:20 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 20:55 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299995438 | $1.16 |
| 08-23 11:46 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 17:06 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.6499999326 | $1.93 |
| 06-30 16:41 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.5599999846 | $1.45 |
| 06-27 12:40 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199999865 | $2.13 |
| 06-23 12:51 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.80 |
| 06-20 15:17 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.6299999314 | $2.94 |
| 05-17 12:48 | Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5999998812 | $1.01 |
| 05-15 13:19 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.42 | $1.26 |
| 05-10 09:53 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.4799998783 | $1.42 |
| 05-07 10:38 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4299999453 | $1.73 |
| 05-06 15:18 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.5499999655 | $2.39 |
| 05-05 18:33 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | BUY | 0.6099999405 | $1.23 |