neon-onyx
0x5d64f1a4841c4f4aff035f5234bcbf6d4f87d216
- Realised P&L
- $-132.59
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $110.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.83at 0.572Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
- +$5.42at 0.400Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$4.79at 0.560S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?
- +$2.13at 0.816Will Trump say "Shut Up" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?
- +$1.76at 0.895Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:46 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999819 | $4.81 |
| 10-08 17:05 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999639 | $3.32 |
| 10-08 17:01 | Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.7599999729 | $5.60 |
| 10-08 16:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | SELL | 0.83 | $21.77 |
| 10-08 16:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.219999993 | $5.65 |
| 10-08 16:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.99 |
| 10-08 15:12 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on October 8? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $9.96 |
| 10-08 14:39 | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.30 |
| 10-08 11:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.24 |
| 10-08 11:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 8? | BUY | 0.2199999941 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 11:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 8? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 07:50 | Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,100? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.65 |
| 10-08 06:25 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999897 | $4.80 |
| 10-07 19:40 | Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.6499999622 | $3.44 |
| 10-07 19:38 | Will Trump say "Shut Up" during his Midterm Rally in Texas? | BUY | 0.809999994 | $9.38 |