arongarongarong
0x5d5a68ba12cf0264ea2dab626d99abb9a71c4289
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $4.00M
- Markets traded
- 3,199
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,199
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs · GamerLegion | 0.608 | 1.000 | $3.5k | +$1.4k |
| Will WE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.001 | $0.38 | −$188.38 |
| Will NIP be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$278.71 |
| Will TLAW be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.002 | $0.02 | −$2.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.254Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
- +$5.1kat 0.494Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
- +$5.0kat 0.414Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$5.0kat 0.423Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.9kat 0.512Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6099999995 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:03 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6036418731 | $195.33 |
| 09-27 19:02 | Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $195.23 |
| 09-17 07:24 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.79 |
| 09-17 07:24 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.165 | $1.33 |
| 09-17 07:24 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL? | SELL | 0.6844852547 | $5.11 |
| 09-17 07:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.65 |