0x5d4c7e3e0db2221147fa86e8fc33a18375fcc40d-1792377351707
0x5d4c7e3e0db2221147fa86e8fc33a18375fcc40d
- Realised P&L
- $-191.49
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $64.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.47at 0.096Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$8.84at 0.263Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
- +$8.77at 0.125Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
- +$7.43at 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$4.45at 0.201Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 02:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? | BUY | 0.7299999807 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 02:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7869999941 | $50.00 |
| 08-30 09:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0063007869 | $3.64 |
| 08-30 09:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0041984 | $6.56 |
| 08-30 09:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2365111432 | $29.50 |
| 08-30 09:47 | Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2231559964 | $34.65 |
| 08-22 02:59 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0026599588 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 02:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2615082956 | $8.67 |
| 06-23 11:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $25.00 |
| 06-18 12:20 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0155123745 | $13.00 |
| 06-17 02:56 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $40.56 |
| 06-17 02:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.9849999764 | $40.00 |
| 06-16 02:28 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2716892455 | $35.22 |
| 06-04 03:28 | Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2314319373 | $30.00 |
| 06-03 13:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $30.00 |