PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5d4c7e3e0db2221147fa86e8fc33a18375fcc40d-1792377351707

0x5d4c7e3e0db2221147fa86e8fc33a18375fcc40d

Realised P&L
$-191.49
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$64.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7870.766$48.70−$1.30
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October? · Yes0.7300.565$15.48−$4.52
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Solana reach $100 in June? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.1810.000$0.00−$15.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.5630.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$10.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 02:41Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?BUY0.7299999807$20.00
10-19 02:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7869999941$50.00
08-30 09:48Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0063007869$3.64
08-30 09:47Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0041984$6.56
08-30 09:47Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2365111432$29.50
08-30 09:47Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2231559964$34.65
08-22 02:59Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0026599588$10.00
08-22 02:59Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2615082956$8.67
06-23 11:00Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.016$25.00
06-18 12:20Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0155123745$13.00
06-17 02:56Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.999$40.56
06-17 02:38Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.9849999764$40.00
06-16 02:28Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2716892455$35.22
06-04 03:28Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2314319373$30.00
06-03 13:16Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?BUY0.3899999967$30.00