lllb8
0x5d4b8727e43b5e68a7ed75ae2096b184e19166b0
- Realised P&L
- $-29.76
- Volume
- $73.3k
- Markets traded
- 399
- Open portfolio
- $103.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded399
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.65at 0.046Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
- +$275.94at 0.141Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
- +$198.59at 0.104Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$127.16at 0.324Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?
- +$121.68at 0.280Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.68 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.62 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.72 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.46 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.76 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.86 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.76 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.83 |