PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lllb8

0x5d4b8727e43b5e68a7ed75ae2096b184e19166b0

Realised P&L
$-29.76
Volume
$73.3k
Markets traded
399
Open portfolio
$103.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded399
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29? · Yes0.3220.385$4.62+$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? · Yes0.4150.455$4.09+$0.35
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 29? · Yes0.3750.300$3.00−$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 30? · Yes0.3100.210$2.52−$1.20
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? · Yes0.4700.530$2.12+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29? · Yes0.2400.245$1.96+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 29? · No0.6300.640$1.92+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Yes0.4100.470$1.88+$0.24
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? · No0.4800.465$1.86−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30? · No0.6100.615$1.84+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29? · No0.9300.910$1.82−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 30? · No0.6000.595$1.78−$0.01
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on September 29? · Yes0.4800.440$1.76−$0.16
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 30? · Yes0.4800.440$1.76−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30? · Yes0.4500.440$1.76−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 17:11Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 29?SELL0.999$2.00
09-28 16:11Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 30?BUY0.84$1.68
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 29?BUY0.54$1.62
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 30?BUY0.43$1.72
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.73$1.46
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 29?BUY0.25$2.00
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 29?BUY0.88$1.76
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on September 29?BUY0.38$1.90
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29?BUY0.93$1.86
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 29?BUY0.37$1.85
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 29?BUY0.88$1.76
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.75$1.50
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.27$1.89
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.45$1.80
09-28 16:11Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.61$1.83