asdfjsadfioklsdafiosdafnlsdajk
0x5d4b2d63c7461c6cd96cd938ffddf6dbb99ee72f
- Realised P&L
- $489.61
- Volume
- $39.6k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $558.20
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.39at 0.332Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?
- +$88.92at 0.407Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$84.87at 0.717US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$84.15at 0.222Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3
- +$72.21at 0.278Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 04:26 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.38 | $114.00 |
| 10-18 18:29 | Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.198132 | $19.81 |
| 10-18 18:27 | Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 16:06 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-14 16:13 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 10-13 16:54 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $148.95 |
| 10-13 04:59 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 21:13 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 10-11 22:04 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $9.18 |
| 10-11 21:29 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | BUY | 0.6234210526 | $35.53 |
| 10-11 20:40 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $29.65 |
| 10-11 18:53 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.42 |
| 10-11 18:24 | Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 10-10 05:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 16:49 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4766666667 | $42.90 |