asdfjsadfioklsdafiosdafnlsdajk
0x5d4b2d63c7461c6cd96cd938ffddf6dbb99ee72f
- Realised P&L
- $343.64
- Volume
- $35.9k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $516.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.57at 0.034Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?
- +$88.92at 0.407Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$84.87at 0.717US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
- +$84.15at 0.222Will Shopify Rebellion Black Win North America ACE Stage 3
- +$68.47at 0.657Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:32 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 20:04 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 09-11 17:16 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7041 | $70.41 |
| 09-10 22:46 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $24.64 |
| 09-10 17:41 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5501477 | $55.01 |
| 09-10 04:02 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | SELL | 0.8008442647 | $54.46 |
| 09-09 01:49 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.7932955 | $79.33 |
| 09-08 20:18 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.8248703333 | $247.46 |
| 09-05 17:39 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-04 13:22 | Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.712 | $71.20 |
| 09-02 23:34 | Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.579 | $57.90 |
| 09-01 17:07 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.34 | $32.30 |
| 08-26 23:20 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.16 |
| 08-26 00:45 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.34 |
| 08-25 04:46 | Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.341 | $17.59 |