0x5d49d539a83e2f80653c8efa6b91fb34b739d70c
0x5d49d539a83e2f80653c8efa6b91fb34b739d70c
- Realised P&L
- $-28.37
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $473.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.83at 0.240US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$40.45at 0.682Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$22.74at 0.726Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?
- +$3.83at 0.454Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
- +$0.37at 0.006Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 15:47 | Will the Iowa Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? | BUY | 0.37 | $27.38 |
| 10-21 15:47 | Will the Nebraska Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? | BUY | 0.22 | $16.28 |
| 10-21 15:47 | Will the Kansas Republican perform worst among these tossup Senate races? | BUY | 0.3879999966 | $28.71 |
| 10-17 11:04 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.9009999969 | $181.68 |
| 10-17 11:04 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0469999999 | $9.47 |
| 10-17 11:03 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $6.85 |
| 10-17 11:02 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.9039999992 | $182.15 |
| 10-17 11:02 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0451327264 | $9.09 |
| 10-17 11:02 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $6.85 |
| 08-19 10:54 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.2399999966 | $47.63 |
| 08-19 10:54 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.7299999988 | $144.88 |
| 06-26 04:44 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.2799999947 | $35.67 |
| 06-26 04:44 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.0158776166 | $2.02 |
| 06-26 04:44 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.6714564734 | $85.54 |
| 06-06 06:59 | Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30? | SELL | 0.0243055556 | $2.19 |