dasfwsw111
0x5d3bf2b39a30f8834579dab61b94b725db053a20
- Realised P&L
- $-421.27
- Volume
- $66.0k
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? · Yes | 0.762 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$40.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.779 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$257.45at 0.225Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 8?
- +$196.24at 0.374Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 3?
- +$191.05at 0.094Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?
- +$164.80at 0.114Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 1?
- +$119.53at 0.346Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.27 |
| 10-02 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-02 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.7739292731 | $19.70 |
| 10-02 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.13 |
| 10-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.7850911003 | $9.50 |
| 10-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.84 |
| 10-02 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.777441801 | $30.39 |
| 10-01 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.769154245 | $23.74 |
| 10-01 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1? | BUY | 0.7364753587 | $11.81 |
| 10-01 02:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.37 |
| 09-30 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.6754966843 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6099999656 | $4.96 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.6099999926 | $23.96 |