PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5D35266ca54c252e93B78af9E2a2a512A7b70f94-1771489980305

0x5d35266ca54c252e93b78af9e2a2a512a7b70f94

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$232.92

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4480.481$166.36+$11.36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6600.715$43.33+$3.33
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0770.060$15.61−$4.39
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0790.045$5.70−$4.30
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3990.765$1.92+$0.92
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2830.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$60.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00−$136.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.6470.000$0.00−$6.00
Paraguay to score first vs. France? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00−$101.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 10:44Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5$30.00
10-20 10:44France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0768909158$20.00
09-09 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.16$5.00
09-09 14:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-05 09:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.4$10.00
09-05 08:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.059999989$5.00
09-05 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-08 10:20Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?BUY0.5714285714$30.00
08-02 13:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.6799999946$20.00
07-30 15:31Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?BUY0.0390000004$5.00
07-29 18:48Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.4009999938$20.00
07-29 18:47Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0789935566$10.00
07-27 19:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5399999943$40.00
07-27 19:33The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija GolubicBUY0.8199999893$40.00
07-27 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.3799999742$5.00