PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5d2f66b260702f5c3404afdff4cf6dae1bb45034

Realised P&L
$-17.0k
Volume
$300.1k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$15.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7970.840$10.5k+$528.24
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.895$5.0k+$1.0k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.6000.000$0.00$25.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 10:37US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$3.0k
07-30 10:36US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999999$1000.00
07-30 10:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6109274503$7.1k
07-30 10:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.93$15.0k
07-30 10:30Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7973798899$10.0k
04-08 15:36Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3476723747$6.9k
04-08 15:36Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3599999982$104.62
04-08 15:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.6628162765$6.3k
04-02 06:11Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.7534164512$33.7k
03-15 07:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.6350773041$6.0k
03-15 07:15Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.87$10.0k
03-15 07:14Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY0.7501632221$10.0k
03-13 13:02Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.86$15.0k
01-17 08:31Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.5622006933$13.7k
01-14 12:54US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.7049697787$12.4k