gvnsgermssteel
0x5d2646541ec881aac64f46fe74cba044c04e6ddc
- Realised P&L
- $127.02
- Volume
- $727.40
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $231.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? · Yes | 0.548 | 0.575 | $231.18 | +$10.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.02at 0.587Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$34.00at 0.660Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:53 | Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | BUY | 0.5484579032 | $220.51 |
| 07-15 21:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.575 | $129.58 |