elonilan
0x5d1a2ab5aebe0bfe92041dd0fab7a05fd8ef2990
- Realised P&L
- $-7.46
- Volume
- $457.35
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.427 | $3.32 | +$1.31 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.087 | $1.16 | −$0.84 |
| Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up | 0.346 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.29at 0.340Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$0.35at 0.017Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.18at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-29 10:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.19 |
| 10-29 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 10:51 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2579999995 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 20:59 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 20:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.253 | $5.70 |
| 10-28 20:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2539999919 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 20:58 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $5.29 |
| 10-27 17:16 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.83 |
| 10-27 17:15 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.35 |
| 10-26 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 18:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |