PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

grustniyTanec

0x5d14a05632ac0ea514b1ca434e084dabd419f8bd

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$212.8k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9830.995$1.6k+$17.67
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9600.955$339.24$1.78
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8600.855$128.25$0.75
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9880.994$105.26+$0.58
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? · No0.9440.987$39.86+$1.72
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes0.9140.993$34.02+$2.69
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7460.765$29.69+$0.73
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · Yes0.9730.997$28.36+$0.68
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · No0.8630.970$25.27+$2.79
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? · Yes0.8900.860$14.86$0.52
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25? · Yes0.9700.982$11.84+$0.14
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September? · No0.9500.980$5.34+$0.16
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9900.994$2.99+$0.01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26? · Yes0.9850.000$0.00$53.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yes0.9700.000$0.00$164.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:19US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.97$11.70
09-21 17:13Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?BUY0.95$5.18
09-20 22:31Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?BUY0.973$27.68
09-20 08:40Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?BUY0.944$38.15
09-20 04:05Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.9146450124$25.77
09-20 03:47Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.988$104.68
09-20 03:46Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.96$341.02
09-20 03:46Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.86$129.00
09-20 03:20Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.914$5.57
09-11 09:12Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9887610228$413.75
09-08 15:54Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.989$10.83
09-08 15:54Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.989$10.83
09-08 15:28Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.989$215.11
09-08 08:30Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.989$123.63
09-08 06:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.989$133.63
Trader grustniyTanec · PolyBot Pro