PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nenels

0x5d10794be4deb84f71c3b905e9535cb497eab5e7

Realised P&L
$-29.91
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
673
Open portfolio
$244.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded673
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8500.943$33.26+$3.26
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9360.957$22.49+$0.49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6700.860$12.84+$2.84
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7800.979$12.54+$2.54
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.8290.840$12.15+$0.15
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9000.968$10.76+$0.76
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.956$10.74+$0.74
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.940$10.68+$0.68
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8990.948$10.54+$0.54
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7300.755$10.34+$0.34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9270.958$10.33+$0.33
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5880.745$8.87+$1.87
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9200.968$8.41+$0.41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2050.065$6.61$14.39
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8600.925$6.46+$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 13:07Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.259999948$3.00
08-11 14:26Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4$2.00
08-11 14:26Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-27 19:48Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3299999296$3.00
06-10 19:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.8$1.00
06-10 19:57Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
06-10 19:57Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?BUY0.8399998908$4.00
06-10 14:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.9539995278$2.00
06-10 14:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8299999557$3.00
06-10 14:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
06-06 12:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
06-06 12:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
06-06 12:50Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9199998942$8.00
06-06 12:50Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8979999695$2.00
06-06 12:46Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5599999664$2.00