xaas
0x5d0d45659dc5714437628941447537b48a850a2d
- Realised P&L
- $-308.77
- Volume
- $118.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $325.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.86at 0.433Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$7.62at 0.282Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$5.03at 0.022Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$3.37at 0.007Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$2.43at 0.019Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 10:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.606576854 | $8.86 |
| 10-09 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999998 | $270.00 |
| 09-19 16:59 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3699999932 | $19.62 |
| 09-16 14:43 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 14:43 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:43 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 14:42 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:42 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.289999998 | $35.00 |
| 05-09 17:43 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 05-09 17:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $40.00 |
| 05-09 17:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $50.00 |
| 05-09 17:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $8.00 |
| 05-09 17:36 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 17:36 | Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $4.37 |
| 05-09 17:36 | Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0035735589 | $0.62 |